🔥 Deep Dive: Oracle Just Ripped Higher But Is It Getting Too Hot to Handle?

What I’m Seeing After the Breakout — And How I’d Trade It from Here

Hey traders and investors,

Let’s talk about Oracle ($ORCL). The stock just exploded this week — ripping +13.6% on Thursday and tacking on another +7.75% Friday — even while the broader Nasdaq was down.

This wasn’t just a sympathy move. Oracle delivered a monster earnings report, raised guidance, and then got hit with a wave of analyst upgrades. That’s how you ignite a breakout.

But here’s the question: Is it still playable here, or did this thing just blow off the top?

Let’s break it down.

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🧾 First — What’s Fueling the Rally?

Oracle crushed its fiscal Q4 numbers:

• Revenue: $15.9B (+11% YoY), beat by $300M

• EPS: $1.71 vs. $1.64 expected

• Forward Guidance: FY2026 raised to $67B in revenue (+16%)

That guidance upgrade hit like jet fuel. It wasn’t just about strong results — it was about future growth, especially in cloud infrastructure, which is projected to grow 70% this year (up from 51% last year).

Then came the analyst stampede:

• Goldman Sachs: Raised target from $145 → $195

• BMO Capital: Raised target from $200 → $235 and upgraded to “Outperform”

So you’ve got real earnings strength, explosive guidance, and now the Street is catching up. But what’s the chart saying?

📊 Technical Breakdown

Here’s what’s jumping out at me:

🚀 Price Action:

• Oracle blew through its prior all-time highs and closed just below a key resistance at $216.60.

• That big green candle Friday? It’s a breakout continuation. But also a potential climax move — the daily candle extended way outside the upper Bollinger Band.

• That’s a momentum signal… but it can also be an exhaustion warning.

🟠 Moving Averages:

• 20-day MA (red): Just turned higher — momentum catching fire.

• 50-day MA (blue): Smooth uptrend, acting as rising support around $140s — far beneath current price.

• 200-day MA (orange): Bullish slope — long-term trend solidly intact.

This is what a textbook breakout looks like — but it’s also very extended in the short term.

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📉 RSI: 89

Yup — that’s hot.

RSI at 89 tells me we’re extremely overbought. Doesn’t mean it reverses tomorrow, but it means risk is elevated. These levels don’t last forever.

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📈 MACD: Launch Mode

The MACD line is soaring above the signal line with a widening histogram. Classic strength. No bearish divergence yet. Momentum is accelerating.

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🎯 Stochastics: 93 and Pegged

Stochastics are just about maxed out and still pointing up. This is momentum pushing its limits — traders are chasing, and FOMO is in the air.

When this rolls over, you’ll usually get a pause or dip. The key is when — and how strong that dip gets.

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🔎 Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance:

• $216.60 → Key technical level, we closed just under it Friday.

If that breaks cleanly on Monday with volume, look for follow-through toward $225+.

Support:

• $200 → Clean psychological and round-number level.

• $179.43 → Former breakout level.

• $155.43 → Deep support, not in play unless this completely unwinds.

💡 How I’d Play It